Should you be worried today?
Water, heat, rain and typhoon risks for your barangay, in plain words.
Open tubig.rjhon.netClimate and drought
Rain on Angat River watershed against its 1991 to 2020 normal, the season ahead, El Niño and PAGASA's drought outlook.
El Niño index
+1.80 (JJA 2026)
Strong El Niño
Rain on the watershed
165% of normal
Last 90 days: 1,522 mm against 922 mm
Rain ahead
35% of normal
Median to 3 Apr: 418 mm against 1,199 mm
Drought outlook, Bulacan
Drought
Worst month ahead: January 2027
Rain so far
Last 90 days, cumulative, from NASA POWER, against the 1991 to 2020 normal (dashed).
Rain ahead
ECMWF seasonal outlook, cumulative: the median line and the p10 to p90 band, against normal.
El Niño index
NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index since 2015; red is El Niño (+0.5 and above), blue La Niña.
Drought outlook
PAGASA's latest six-month outlook for Metro Manila and the Angat watershed, from this month on.
| Province | Oct 2026 | Nov 2026 | Dec 2026 | Jan 2027 | Feb 2027 | Mar 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulacan | Dry condition | Dry spell | Dry spell | Drought | Drought | Drought |
| National Capital Region (NCR) | Dry condition | Dry spell | Dry spell | Drought | Drought | Drought |
ENSO statements
| Issued | From | Statement | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | PAGASA | Climate advisory | |
| 7 Sep 2026 | PAGASA | El Niño Advisory No. 4 | |
| 6 Aug 2026 | PAGASA | El Niño Advisory No. 3 | |
| 28 Jul 2026 | PAGASA | Climate outlook Aug 2026-Jan 2027 | |
| 8 Jul 2026 | PAGASA | Seasonal outlook | |
| 6 Jul 2026 | PAGASA | El Niño Advisory No. 2 | |
| 9 Jun 2026 | PAGASA | El Niño Advisory No. 1 | |
| 22 Apr 2026 | PAGASA | El Nino Alert | 79% for JJA 2026 |
| 25 Mar 2026 | PAGASA | El Nino Watch | >=55% within 6 months |
| 9 Mar 2026 | PAGASA | La Nina ended / ENSO-neutral |
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